Below normal precipitation is favored across northern wyoming during. Winter outlook noaa climategov.
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Precipitation outlook into this winter the precipitation outlook through january from noaa indicates that most of california has an equal chance of seeing above or below average precipitation.
Winter precipitation forecast 2018.
Climate forecasters at the climate prediction center predict a weak el nino to occur during the meteorological winter months of 2018 2019 dec jan feb.
This combined with other global factors should favor near normal temperatures and above normal precipitation in north and central georgia during these months.
The pattern does resemble the typical precipitation pattern seen in an average el nino with above average precipitation favored over much of the southern tier and southern alaska and with below average precipitation most likely in the northern rockies.
Similarly the precipitation outlook is also much less confident lower probabilities than the forecast for the last el nino winter.
Scroll below to see additional details on the temperatures and precipitation outlook.
Climate prediction center meteorologist mike halpert explains the outlook for temperature precipitation and drought in the united states for december 2018 february 2019.
This combined with other global factors should favor above normal temperatures across wyoming with the greatest chance across northwest and north central wyoming.
Currently the central rockies and the four corners region are experiencing a drought but above average precipitation levels this winter may alleviate conditions in northern arizona and new mexico.
As stated in the video above displayed on these outlooks are the highest probability outlooks and does not describe the day to day variability.
The colors denote places where the forecast odds favor a much drier than usual winter brown colors or much wetter than usual winter blue green or where the probability of a dry winter a wet winter or a near normal winter are all equal white.
Forecast for winter 2018 2019it may come as no surprise but based on what we have discussed the forecast of a weak to moderate el nino doesnt tell us much about the potential for winter precipitation across the sierra northeast california and western nevada.
With the main seasonal forecasting tool that is el ninola nina not helping much historically there is little to hang ones hat on regarding winter precipitation in the area.
Noaas mike halpert explains the 2018 19 us.
Winter precipitation outlook for december february 2018 2019 issued on november 15 2018.
Climate forecasters at the climate prediction center predict a weak el nino to occur during the meteorological winter months of 2018 2019 dec jan feb.
Climate forecasters at the climate prediction center predict a weak el nino to occur during the meteorological winter months of 2018 2019 dec jan feb.
This combined with other global factors should favor above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation in montana during these months.
Please see httpswwwweathergovapxsnowgraphytd for season to date snowfall totals at selected sites across northern michigan.
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